Will Texas Turn Blue?

April 21, 2013 in Analysis & Editorial

Texas as a Blue StateRepublicans Gov. Rick Perry, Sen. John Cornyn, and Sen. Ted Cruz are the current royalty of Texas politics. They are well liked in rural Texas, less so in the urban areas and quite confusing to voters of other states who view them with a skeptical eye. Perry, Cornyn and Cruz announced they’d be appearing together at the statehouse in Austin to explain why accepting tens of millions of federal dollars to expand the state’s Medicaid program is a terrible idea. They are viewed as extremists and unschooled in the ways of national politics. They represent a base of voters thought to be old fashioned at best and uninformed at worst. They are called incendiary by some and patriotic by others.

Royalty factors notwithstanding, the political map may be changing drastically in the lone star state.

Mayor Julián Castro is a rising star in the state of Texas. He is the mayor of San Antonio and brother of newly elected Texas Rep. Joaquín Castro. He is a Stanford undergraduate and Harvard Law graduate.  Some say he is the future of Texas. Some say he is the future of America. Both are Democrats and both symbolize expectations that Texas may be shifting from red to blue on the electoral map.

Castro has attracted a lot of attention and acclaim. He is considered a handsome, well-educated, charismatic, young politician with a compelling history and an aura of hope, change and promise. He represents what some call the new America. His road to office may be more difficult, however. Statewide races in Texas for Democrats are historical burial grounds.

Castro delivered the keynote address in Charlotte, N.C. at the 2012 Democratic National Convention. The déjà vu is that eight years earlier, a young congressman from Illinois had delivered a similar speech and had captured a place in the national psyche. This propelled him into the presidency and ultimately a second term. Can lightning strike twice?

What is there about new blue politicians that makes Texas such an enticing target for money, consultants and hope? It has been almost 20 years since Texas elected a Democrat statewide and time, according to Castro, to set the record straight.

The idea that Texas could turn blue is no longer an arbitrary concept in a dreamers mind. There are good reasons why money and talent are flocking there. In Texas today Hispanics, African-Americans, and Asians already outnumber Caucasians. However, in the last presidential election, Texas was the only minority dominated state in America that didn’t vote for Obama. Texas as a whole leans 10 percent more Republican than Democratic. Turnout is the reason. Hispanics currently make up 38 percent of the population yet cast only 22 percent of the ballots in 2012.

That disparity is both appalling and encouraging. As participation rates go, it is low. But the potential for Democrats, whom Hispanic voters tend to prefer by margins of two–one or more, is the thing of which dreams are made. Mark Jones, the chairman of the political-science department at RiceUniversity in Houston, shows that if Texas Hispanics had voted in 2008 at the same level as California, John McCain’s margin of victory in the state’s Presidential vote would have been halved from 12 to 6 percent. More importantly, by 2030 Hispanics will make up a larger share of the electorate (43 percent) than Caucasians (39 percent).

Now enter Battleground Texas, an outfit designed to help Democrats capitalize on the state’s new demographics. Progressives have wanted to make inroads into Texas but have lacked the money to do so. This has changed. The people behind Battleground Texas believe they not only will have the money, but the talent to achieve this ambitious goal. They are the same people who got Obama elected twice. Jeremy Bird directed Obama’s national field operation in 2012. Jenn Brown, in Austin, was in charge of Ohio last November. Top Democratic donor Steve Mostyn has already pledged to round up $10 million in initial funding.

Bird told Newsweek, “Part of the reason we won Florida by 50,000 votes in 2012 is that we had organizers on the ground for six years who were running a 21st-century grassroots campaign with data, with digital, with smart analytics, with field. We need that kind of long-term vision in Texas.”

One thought on “Will Texas Turn Blue?

  1. Dave Francis says:

    HAVE PITY FOR ARIZONA AND OTHER BORDER STATES ARE PAYING A LARGER PROPORTION OF TAXES, IN SUPPORTING LEECHES CALLED ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS?

    CAN WE TRUST CONGRESS AFTER THE 1986 IMMIGRATION AMNESTY CHAOS?

    Unlike other countries that pursue immigration, they are not fetching into that nation people who are going to leech of the rest of the taxpayers. Obviously everybody sees a calling for the highly skilled, the PhDs, scientists, engineers and many other highly educated workers and specific regulations to expedited visas. But people with no education, unskilled and who are able to sponsor old folks will add to our own seemingly endless lines of American citizens in poverty. If its so deemed we must bring across the border Guest workers for farms, agriculture, meat packing, it must be regulated properly, not the haphazard system we have today. That the owners of farms, cattle and other business must pay a living wage, and not unload the injured charges in emergency rooms and expect the hospitals and eventually the taxpayers to pay all the bills.

    Without a biometric ID card the whole revision of Immigration laws is still going to fall on the taxpayers. OUR IDENTIFICATION IS BROKEN, AS THE WORN OUT SOCIAL SECURITY CARD THAT IS EASILY COMPROMISED? Even the spotlight on the E-Verify system has its real flaws, that mandatory execution of this electronic program, doesn’t take complete effect for 6 years. Thats ridiculous and must be in force by the first year of any new Immigration reform. Any Comprehensive Immigration Reform should only be put in motion, only when the Southern border is fully enforced. Not just more agents, but with double layered fencing complete with razor wire, designated as the original (2006 SECURE FENCE ACT) covering all federal lands, Indian reservations and private lands. There was a Theodore Roosevelt easement law passed in 1907 that gave federal authority to a 60-foot strip along the international boundary with Mexico for the United States to maintain the area free from obstructions as a protection against the smuggling of goods between the United States and Mexico. In effect, the easement provided the federal government with a 60-foot border right-of-way on which it could build the fence. So why is Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano forever making excuses about building the REAL 2 Layer fences?

    I still believe that any new immigration bill should contain an amendment to BIRTHRIGHT CITIZENSHIP, that only the babies of already U.S. citizens should be able to claim that right. Just by skirting the U.S. border Patrol, or Immigration and Customs Services (ICE) at airline arrival or shipping entry ports, smuggling the unborn into the country should not be tolerated and certainly not allow the unknown numbers of progeny a right to citizenship. There was a reason for this, according to the law that after the Civil War the descendants of slaves could gain citizenship.

    There should be no rushing in revisiting immigration policies, as the 1986 opened up huge loopholes and allowed millions of none qualifying illegal aliens to gain legal status. We are feeling these consequences some 27 years later, through an epidemic of FAMILY CHAIN MIGRATION, leading to the DREAM ACT and the problem of the potential of 11 to 25 million illegal aliens having settled here, paying no taxes, but still collecting hundreds of billions of dollars in free education for their children, health care in emergency rooms and a almost bottomless pit of incredible financial assistance including cash payments for every infant and food stamps. The critics are right that the parents are not entitled to federal or state benefits, but the de facto citizenship of illegal alien children are, and states are bleeding huge amounts of money, especially in the border state?

    Whatever it costs to seal our borders, give ICE and HOMELAND SECURITY the tools they need to fight the growing plague. By paying now no matter the cost will save hundreds of billions annually into the future. The only reason its so expensive to these senile idiots in Washington, is that it doesn’t conform to the demands of the special interests and all the corporations, otherwise discount labor would have already been severed? You will find a petition at NumbersUSA to stop this sham of the illegal alien invasion. Read more about the undeveloped border fence at AmericanPatrol and the astonishing sensor called the“Sonic Barrier” that is far advanced to the regular units they have on the border. AmericanPatrol can also illustrate to you the incompetence and intentional ignorance of the risks at the border, plus daily news and views that the Liberal press is keeping masked? Here is a few websites for petitions against illegal immigration, news and reports not seen within the pages of the left wing press. NumbersUSA carries much intelligence on specific laws, with American Patrol showing ample evidence of an extremely weak border and ineffectual control at ports of entry, including airline terminals. CALL YOUR TWO U.S. SENATORS TODAY and urge them to oppose S.744! You can call the Capitol Switchboard toll-free at 1-888-978-3094.

    There is daily news also to be found here, at American Patrol and all the happenings in Washington. Corruption and abuse of all our laws, pending immigration bills and abuses in congress is available at Judicial Watch.

    April 23, the daily American Patrol publicizes the outreach media articles, which usually remain concealed, but located here all in one place.

    1. Blind Eye: Conciliatory FBI policies toward Islamic hampered probe into Boston bombers.
    2. Spokesman for RINO Rubio compares plight of illegals to slavery.
    3. Kris Kobach testifies against amnesty scheme before U.S. Senate committee.
    4. Immigration Officer: Congress heeded illegal aliens, not law enforcement.
    5. Don’t thwart the rule of law.

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